Housing market report says home prices will rise by 20% willl cause mortgage rates to rise
A BIS report is claiming that capital city home prices are set to rise by 20% over the next three years.
Affordable housing is something that both the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Rudd Government value, and home loan interest rate rises will be a part of what I believe are futile moves to dampen demand. How will rising housing prices and rising interest rates make homes more affordable?
The highest fertility rate in Australia’s history, the lowest death rate in Australia’s history and the highest migration numbers in Australia’s history, and a surging economy tell the story of why Australia has a shortage of housing stock and the demand to buy a home, and these facts also points to the remedy, without having to dampen demand with interest rate hikes.
To keep interest rates low and to provide affordable housing, Australia has to make it a priority to develop residential land, and to build homes to an over supply situation. That will have to mean developing new more efficient methods of developing land and building homes.
In the mean time, some say we may have to reduce migration, and curb the baby boom, though both would be short sighted moves, as with Australia’s ageing population we will need to see these growing to provide workers and business development to sustain that growing segment.
Investing in a new home right now looks very tempting with the last ten years showing a doubling in value over the period, rising rents and low home loan interest rates.
And the housing shortage does not look like going away anytime soon, even if mortgage rates rise dramatically, because we all have to live somewhere, and for most of us, on the streets is not an option.
Author: Rick Adlam Mr Mortgage